I've spent the last few nights trying to decipher the financial reporting. It's very convoluted, with many exclusions and add backs but I think I've got it right now but I'd like feedback. I'm not going to make any remarks as to sentiment or write any conclusions that I draw from the numbers, just post them and see what the world of HC thinks. If anyone would like the .XLS file it is attached.
Example Afterpay Transaction
0
14
28
42
56
Consumer Transaction
$150.00
$37.50
$37.50
$37.50
$37.50
Commision Charged
$6.00
Transaction Fee
$0.60
Afterpay Exposure
$143.40
$105.90
$68.40
$30.90
-$6.60
4.60%
Interest
$0.21
$0.16
$0.10
$0.05
$0.52
95.60%
$6.08
4.05%
0
14
28
42
56
Consumer Transaction
$150.00
$37.50
$37.50
$37.50
$37.50
Commision Charged
$6.00
Transaction Fee
$0.60
Afterpay Exposure
$143.40
$105.90
$68.40
$30.90
-$6.60
4.60%
Interest
$0.21
$0.16
$0.10
$0.05
$0.52
Return
Annual Return
95.60%
$6.08
4.05%
26.41%
Cost
-$6.00
NTM
$0.08
0.05%
0.34%
0
14
28
42
56
Consumer Transaction
$150.00
$37.50
$37.50
$37.50
$47.50
Late Fee
$10.00
Loan Balance
$150.00
$112.50
$85.00
$47.50
$-
Commision Charged
$6.00
Transaction Fee
$0.60
Afterpay Exposure
$143.40
$105.90
$68.40
$30.90
-$16.60
11.58%
Interest
$0.21
$0.16
$0.10
$0.05
$0.52
Return
Annual Return
$16.08
10.72%
69.87%
Cost
-$6.00
NTM
$10.08
6.72%
43.79%
0
14
28
42
56
Consumer Transaction
$150.00
$37.50
$37.50
$37.50
$-
Commision Charged
$6.00
Transaction Fee
$0.60
Afterpay Exposure
$143.40
$105.90
$68.40
$30.90
$55.90
-38.98%
Interest
$0.21
$0.16
$0.10
$0.05
$0.52
Return
Annual Return
-$56.42
-37.61%
-245.16%
Cost
-$6.00
NTM
-$62.42
-41.61%
-271.24%
FY19
HY 2020
YTD 20
FY2020E
NTM (Gross-Op Ex-Losses-Employment Costs)
Customers
4,600,000
7,300,000
8,400,000.00
9,225,000.00
Total Transaction Volume
$ 5,200,000,000.00
$ 4,800,000,000.00
$ 7,300,000,000.00
$ 8,016,964,285.71
Average Transaction Value
$150.00
$150.00
$150.00
$150.00
Number of Transactions
34,666,667
32,000,000
48,666,667
53,446,428.57
$3,762,206.66
Gross Loss (per APT Report)
-$58,675,000.00
-$47,803,000.00
-$73,000,000.00
-$92,275,093.37
Gross Margin
$218,012,000.00
$187,675,000.00
$295,821,920.00
$324,875,858.57
Late Fees
$46,100,000.00
$32,600,000.00
$49,640,000.00
$54,515,357.14
$53,446,428.57
Total Portfolio Income
$264,112,000.00
$220,275,000.00
$345,461,920.00
$379,391,215.71
Net Income (% of GSV)
3.95%
3.59%
3.73%
3.58%
Gross Margin (% of GSV)
4.19%
3.91%
4.05%
4.05%
Net Income
$205,437,000.00
$172,472,000.00
$272,461,920.00
$287,116,122.34
$57,208,635.23
Cost per Transaction
Employment Cost
-$1.48
Operating Expenses
-$3.02
Losses
-$1.50
-$6.00
2018 ($AUD '000)
2019 ($AUD '000)
HY 2020 ($AUD '000)
FY2020 ($AUD)
Afterpay Income
$88,328
$200,868
$179,618
$287,116,122
Pay Now Income
$25,571
$17,095
$8,090
$16,180,000
Other Income
$28,446
$46,149
$32,567
$65,134,000
Total Income
$142,345
$264,112
$220,275
$368,430,122
Cost of Sales
-$28,210
-$59,562
-$55,416
-$92,688,338
Gross Profit
$114,135
$204,550
$164,859
$275,741,784
Employment Expenses
-$22,245
-$51,445
-$36,020
-$72,040,000
Receivable Impairment Expenses
-$32,610
-$58,675
-$47,803
-$92,275,093
Operating Expenses
-$27,077
-$73,210
-$80,606
-$161,212,000
Depreciation & Amortisation Expense
-$17,329
-$22,371
-$13,788
-$22,039,868
Share-based Payment Expenses
-$16,374
-$30,545
-$13,647
-$27,294,000
Net Loss on Financial Liabilities
$-
$-
-$912
$-
Operating Profit/(Loss)
$32,203
$21,220
$430
-$49,785,309
Finance Income
$531
$563
$713
$-
Finance Cost
-$6,617
-$11,653
-$8,588
$-
Loss Before Tax
$26,117
$10,130
-$7,445
-$49,785,309
APT Price at posting:
$42.89 Sentiment: None Disclosure: Not Held