APT 0.00% $66.47 afterpay limited

Alternative Metrics, page-1715

  1. 119 Posts.
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    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/1691/1691068-b15c66e06a6e9570eeb15b68fb461dfd.jpg
    With the strong trend in customer growth it is important to take a step back and assess how big APT can become.

    Using the AUD/NZ market as reference, assuming similar uptake as a % of the population in the US and the UK, and assuming APT announces Canada expansion in the near future (given trademarks have been granted), I see APT's addressable market for the NEAR-TERM below:

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/1691/1691078-b1763db5f24e385db806e6b47acfcc52.jpg

    I think these estimates are conservative given that:
    - NZ market doesn't seem like it has matured according to merchant growth.
    - Different culture surrounding credit in the US post GFC.
    - APT made a point that customer growth has been more successful in US compared to AUD.
    -UK shopping is more geared towards e-commerce as opposed to brick and mortar.
    -Appeal to generation Z who are beginning to enter the workforce who have more need for the product
    Hence, addressable market is more likely to be Circa 12.5%-15% of the population.

    Of course, these are just the countries we know of... where to next for APT?
    EU? Asia?

    DYOR
    Last edited by husky4lyfe: 19/08/19
 
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