If you go to page 11 of their 1H23 results presentation they forecast $ 2 billion in sales by 2026 at a compound annual growth rate of 8.5%.
Thus net profit (earnings per share) relative to sales will only increase 1 - 2 % per year.
So if we accept EPS .25 cents (which is far too generous) for year ending 30 June 23 and increase EPS by 5% ( which is far too generous) for year ending 30 June 24 ( i.e. 1.2 cents) then EPS for year ending 30 June 24 will be .262 cents.
If I pay $7 for a share on 1 July 2023 my return for the next year will be .262 cents divided by $7 = 3.7%, which is low.
This is why most brokers have very low valuations on a2.
Also the paying of a dividend is irrelevant to share price. Its does not matter if EPS is retained in the company or paid as a dividend. Some people will argue paying a dividend is actually a negative because it indicates the company has limited investment / growth opportunities.
I think we all need to see a2m for what it is. Great company, great product, great management but a long hard road ahead to win then hold market share. And hopefully pull back on marketing expenditure to improve EPS.
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If you go to page 11 of their 1H23 results presentation they...
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Last
$6.48 |
Change
-0.110(1.67%) |
Mkt cap ! $4.684B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$6.59 | $6.64 | $6.41 | $25.96M | 4.015M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
6 | 103592 | $6.47 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$6.48 | 48180 | 4 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 1555 | 6.430 |
2 | 226 | 6.420 |
6 | 41053 | 6.400 |
8 | 24528 | 6.390 |
1 | 5813 | 6.380 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
6.490 | 2230 | 1 |
6.500 | 32060 | 5 |
6.510 | 16081 | 1 |
6.530 | 152 | 1 |
6.550 | 559 | 2 |
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