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30/08/18
10:49
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Originally posted by El Jefe
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Was a decent half year.
Costs are high though at $620 p/t.
Thats why they switched to cash margin a couple quarters back, it looks a lot better.
Fines will drop these costs nicely so should be positive going into 1H19 when that’s fully ramped up. <$500 p/t maybe, which is an extra 20% profits.
In comparison;
$620 is close to double what the Pilbara players have quoted.
Personally I take them with a grain of salt right now, AJM have already changed figures upwards of 10% $310-> $350 which confirms this. See how they go in reality along with PLS. Whether iron removal will be more of an issue than expected and will affect the figures to get to spec, time will tell.
TAW costs currently very high as expected with estimates of ~$650 p/t after pre stripping, similar to current GXY costs and that guided to reduce below $400 p\t after fines installation and TA plant running 1H next year. Again still a lot to prove.
If none of these companies can get costs down <$500 p/t then a drop in spodumene prices makes starting new projects very marginal unless they are very favourable projects which bodes well for spodumene prices to stay steady for a while to come imo.
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Or we can look to open an extremely low cost Brine project in Hombre Muerto, Argentina next door to FMC's super low cost project... that should sort it.
Now where to get the funds for such an endeavour?