its ok to disagree don’t take it personally. it’s healthy to understand the downside in a position. But of course you would know this.
Let’s not get into whether I think financial advisors add value. or what happened in March. Easy with hindsight.
Hunches? experience ? Just to be sure you have a model which assumes no negative flows, no dilution, no appreciation of the aud, fee margin increases and double digit returns over the next 3 years. You have a price target twice consensus! Hunches^^
Of course it’s hunches if it was a sure thing it wouldn’t be trading where it is. This isn’t a science.
There is a reason the market has it at $1.40 and it’s not Fox News( who watches Fox News in Australia?) of lack of broker coverage ( there are two plus at least 4 funds managers) It’s because the market is pricing in risk.
I hope you’re right though! Good luck
Ann: 2021 Full Year Results - Investor Presentation, page-53
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$2.95 |
Change
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Mkt cap ! $8.712B | |||
| Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
| $3.00 | $3.06 | $2.89 | $6.998M | 2.368M |
Buyers (Bids)
| No. | Vol. | Price($) |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 7679 | $2.94 |
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| Price($) | Vol. | No. |
|---|---|---|
| $2.96 | 1000 | 1 |
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