NEU 2.88% $16.54 neuren pharmaceuticals limited

Ann: 2023 Annual Report to shareholders, page-73

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  1. 1,902 Posts.
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    I agree. I wouldn't sell at these prices even if we didn't have NNZ-2256!

    Daybue guidance (70m AUD) on a 40 forward PE = 2.8B AUD. We also have 250m cash on top of this. Zero value assigned to NNZ-2256

    This 40 forward PE is very reasonable because:

    • Peak sales won't be achieved in the first full year, so there will be growth in the coming years (North America)
    • Additional geographies will add more sales, even if the pricing isn't as strong as North America (Europe and Japan, EMA)
    • Milestone payments aren't included in my calculations, but they go straight to earnings. These milestones are reasonable and many of them can be hit within a reasonable time frame. An additional 77m~ is projected to be comfortably hit based on the guidance already provided.
    • PRV isn't included in these calculations.
    • We have very low expenses compared to peers and, our expenses spent on R&D are partially a tax deduction.
 
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$16.54
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$16.94 $17.02 $16.38 $10.33M 620.5K

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No. Vol. Price($)
1 5061 $16.52
 

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Price($) Vol. No.
$16.62 1284 1
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