I'm on the same side of Hadrian mate - and love the imagination - but would encourage to use the actuals to forecast; otherwise becomes just another SHAREHOLDER33 or Charts post. Missed the FY by miles with only 2 months left to estimate - that should be a sign for other investors.
If his Nexstellis growth forecast was to eventuate, the company would be paying 40-50c a share dividend (would need to to get rid of excess cash), and should have a valuation around the $6-$7B - so if the near impossible happened, MYX would be ?? $55-$60 a share based on that. Total fantasy land.
We are sitting at -$14M EBITDA (i don't exclude the extra costs associated with generating additional revenue, it's fake commentary as those expenses are ongoing). *IF* we are $0 EBITDA at FY24 the CEO will be commended and will be rewarded for amazing work (right issues).
The aim is to be cash flow +ive and deliver a GROSS then NET profit. We don't have borrowing expenses, so this should be a terrific indication of timing when the company can move towards bolting on complimentary products using the existing sales channels.
So much to take in - but refer to my earlier analysis - $400m is required for EBITDA $0. We are effectively -$14m and turned $385m with 80% margins. Close, but we missed *realistic* forecasts because of Nextstellis Oct, Nov, Dec results being disappointing.
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mayne pharma group limited
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Ann: 2024 Half Year Investor Presentation, page-70
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Last
$5.03 |
Change
-0.170(3.27%) |
Mkt cap ! $408.6M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$5.20 | $5.21 | $5.03 | $2.804M | 555.6K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 14654 | $5.03 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$5.14 | 3111 | 2 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 1000 | 5.010 |
2 | 61000 | 5.000 |
2 | 2200 | 4.990 |
2 | 702 | 4.970 |
3 | 2200 | 4.950 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
5.140 | 3111 | 2 |
5.150 | 19052 | 1 |
5.180 | 396 | 1 |
5.200 | 2000 | 1 |
5.300 | 10000 | 1 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 20/06/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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MYX (ASX) Chart |