Hey Hadrian, as I've said - would love *your* guess to be right, but forecasting the way you have is dangerous and unrealistic. The only reason I comment at all is because of the economics in me which hates the loose terms for forecasts these days.
Just responding directly and you have said: " what you are doing here is trying to rewrite the past to suit your narrative. " interested to know what you mean. I'm only using actuals in my post, not forecasts or possibilities.
Forecasts are predictions on past and present data. The only way you could *forecast* the straight line growth is by ignoring all but Dec-Jan trend ad the prior 3 years. Anyone with any investment in MYX would love your guess to become reality in 18mths. As long as there isn't a cost blow-out I think my estimated valuation on your numbers is about the mark - MYX would be back in the ASX200 and we'll all be $$Rich. Cha Ching.
Some of your research is top notch and insightful. No doubt. But...
Firstly, Happy for you to pull any posts of mine and dissect.
But with 4/6 months already on the table, plenty of commentary and a couple of days (on Feb 25 to be exact) before the release of the 1H - you forecast (now possibility) revenue at $203m ($183m act). This is what I am referring to when I caution those looking at your Nextstellis forecasts.
Another post in January has your forecast of FY profit sitting at $50-$100m - at the 1/2 way we are Negative $70m
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