NEU neuren pharmaceuticals limited

Thank you Kryptonite and 8horse for the link to the webinar....

  1. 402 Posts.
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    Thank you Kryptonite and 8horse for the link to the webinar.

    Very happy with all this:

    Highlights:
    - Cash position is a fantastic asset against low-ball offers. In other bio companies it is horrible seeing cash burn, dilutive raises and vultures circling.
    - Self-funding of P3 trials without rattling the can is very strong. We can lock up all value unless and until there is a proper deal on our terms.
    - Type C meeting - Sounds like Jon has prepared for multiple scenarios and mentioned it's not binary - there are many layers to negotiation.
    - Daybue expansion to Canada, Europe, Japan and natural organic growth in US ratcheting up the royalty revenue. Baseline of AUD $65M and growing.
    - Buyback a live option with flexibility to top up if the company wants. Will help to absorb some of the loose stock being thrown around and build value.
    - PMS trial preparations underway, planning to launch mid-year. Exciting position with no clear competition - hopefully will help with enrolment pace.
    - New indications not too far away - I am sure Jon is thinking and planning very strategically for prioritising those ones with maximum value.

    Other points:
    - Please take time to review the PMS P2 results again and patient population. This is a box office trial. Hoping for open label as well after it is finished.
    - Will Acadia move on Fragile X once primary endpoints are known for PMS? With their growth strategy and new CEO, what are they waiting for?

    Caveats
    - Acadia Q1 results to be lower (but seasonally expected like last year).
    - Some uncertainty and volatility in the US with Medicare and cost cutting. Would be surprised if rare diseases are targeted but anything is possible.
    - Criteria may not be met for first commercial sale trigger of US $35M in Europe (although Acadia mentioned modest ex-US net sales in 2025) - let's see.
    - Patience is a virtue - holders will continue to be tested.

    Let's see how we go moving forward. Well done Jon and team, and Gerry, please don't be shy to make a cameo again next presentation!
 
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