Thank you Kryptonite and 8horse for the link to the webinar.
Very happy with all this:
Highlights:
- Cash position is a fantastic asset against low-ball offers. In other bio companies it is horrible seeing cash burn, dilutive raises and vultures circling.
- Self-funding of P3 trials without rattling the can is very strong. We can lock up all value unless and until there is a proper deal on our terms.
- Type C meeting - Sounds like Jon has prepared for multiple scenarios and mentioned it's not binary - there are many layers to negotiation.
- Daybue expansion to Canada, Europe, Japan and natural organic growth in US ratcheting up the royalty revenue. Baseline of AUD $65M and growing.
- Buyback a live option with flexibility to top up if the company wants. Will help to absorb some of the loose stock being thrown around and build value.
- PMS trial preparations underway, planning to launch mid-year. Exciting position with no clear competition - hopefully will help with enrolment pace.
- New indications not too far away - I am sure Jon is thinking and planning very strategically for prioritising those ones with maximum value.
Other points:
- Please take time to review the PMS P2 results again and patient population. This is a box office trial. Hoping for open label as well after it is finished.
- Will Acadia move on Fragile X once primary endpoints are known for PMS? With their growth strategy and new CEO, what are they waiting for?
Caveats
- Acadia Q1 results to be lower (but seasonally expected like last year).
- Some uncertainty and volatility in the US with Medicare and cost cutting. Would be surprised if rare diseases are targeted but anything is possible.
- Criteria may not be met for first commercial sale trigger of US $35M in Europe (although Acadia mentioned modest ex-US net sales in 2025) - let's see.
- Patience is a virtue - holders will continue to be tested.
Let's see how we go moving forward. Well done Jon and team, and Gerry, please don't be shy to make a cameo again next presentation!
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Thank you Kryptonite and 8horse for the link to the webinar....
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$12.54 |
Change
0.280(2.28%) |
Mkt cap ! $1.559B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$12.52 | $12.73 | $12.26 | $8.152M | 652.1K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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1 | 665 | $12.50 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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$12.55 | 235 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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1 | 665 | 12.500 |
1 | 1537 | 12.470 |
1 | 1537 | 12.450 |
2 | 2037 | 12.420 |
1 | 42 | 12.400 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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12.600 | 899 | 1 |
12.690 | 1537 | 1 |
12.720 | 2537 | 2 |
12.730 | 1010 | 1 |
12.750 | 1537 | 1 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 24/06/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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