You are not serious that you belief that the market reacts always rational? Who is the market? Mainly what I call the economic cheer squad and/or analyst/economists which are engaged by the big institutions to create a market reactions (for economic gain obviously), One day it might be your anticipated reaction next time it might be the opposite going against the economic theory which was quoted at a similar number last time. Who knows? You might know more than I do and good to have you on board. Imo
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