CYM 0.00% 4.5¢ cyprium metals limited

Ann: 28.4% increased Nifty Copper MRE to 940,200t copper metal, page-76

  1. 1,067 Posts.
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    Just thought I'd bring up some of the differences between AR1 & CYM. In no way is this an attack on their fine operation. Just pointing out some differences and how undervalued CYM is right now.

    this off AR1's recent presentation.
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/4399/4399897-2652829ff5167a1a93666e5e7f28c766.jpg
    Note: Copper price used is AUD$14,000t Cu
    Targeting 10,000t Cu per annum copper metal plate
    Infrastructure valued at AUD$160m
    60Mt @ 0.7% Cu
    420,000 contained Cu including
    220,000 contained sulphide tonnes Cu
    455.8M Shares on Market
    Todays share closing Price 60.5c

    Todays Market Cap 250.8m - 2/06/22


    CYM had Nifty restart study produced in March 2022

    Revolution produced this valuation of CYM based on the Restart Study
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/4399/4399914-889449875ec68a66c3272a9c3aa675e0.jpg

    CYM study used USD for figures and gave 2 possible Copper price valuations
    US$9,000 / t Cu
    US$10,000 / t Cu
    Infrastructure of 2.8Mtpa Cu concentrator, 25Kt SX-EW, Airstrip and camp etc...
    Targeting 25,000 t per annum Copper metal plate.
    Not mentioning other Cu/Co deposits at various locations.
    Further MRE updates, currently waiting on drill and lab results to Nifty east sector
    AR1 & CYM both targeting LME grade plate earning a premium to the copper price

    So here is a comparison of actual prices used in BFS/ Restart Study and then todays copper price and currency value in the far right column..
    Just a basic calculation on expected production values. Does not take into account LME grade pricing
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/4399/4399925-7b50a9d5d09b2fa20af7100ace9b0e58.jpg
    AR1 used AUD$14,000/t or closer to US71.6c So their May numbers worked in their favour compared to our March numbers from a viewers perspective.
    But look at the difference when you plug AR1 numbers into USD and use CYM FX rate.
    Currently AR1 income of A$14,000/t on track only marginally off.

    CYM stated AUD $307m pre tax cashflow so similar to these basic numbers and Austral stated A$140m revenue per annum.

    Restart Study
    732,000 tonnes of copper
    564,819,214 Shares on Market

    CYM earning will be 2.5 times AR1 and yet we only get a 60c value??? This valuation is extremely conservative in comparison.
    CYM should be closer to 2.5 X AR1 MC. OK we have 110m extra shares so 2.5X would be too much. So lets say 2X
    But WAIT.
    MRE Update had and extra 28.4% extra copper taking us up to 940,200t contained copper and further resources expanding will take this 2.5X
    And we are still waiting on Nifty East MRE including oxide material.
    Could easily see CYM trading around $1.50 next year if copper is around $10,000/t
 
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