STX 2.44% 20.0¢ strike energy limited

Just a few quick comments on your post.where we might sit as at...

  1. J L
    1,740 Posts.
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    Just a few quick comments on your post.

    where we might sit as at 30/9/24.

    You have looked at three quarters revenue and come up with $52 million as at 30/9/24 using production rate of 24TJ/D.

    24TJ/D = 24,000GJ/D
    24,000GJ/D X 90 days X 3 X $7.6/GJ = $50 million. OK but I think, at least, there will be about $15 million of associated costs.

    And I project our cash would sit around $52M as at 30/9/24,

    I am not going to foreshadow problems, but I bet you may be closer to the mark.

    (1 X 20 + 8 X 33)/9 TJ/D = 31.5 TJ/D = 31,500GJ/D
    31,500GJ/D X 90 days X 3 X $7.6/GJ = $64.5 million.

    I have been a bit more generous.

    Currently STX owes $25,580,000 to the facility.

    Using your figure of revenue of $52 million as at 30/9/24.

    i.e. $18 million per quarter

    There will be quite a chunk taken out associated production costs.

    How much I have no idea, but it was pretty savage on the previous $9.8 million gas sales. I am going to take a punt at $5,000,000.

    Therefore, total gas sales revenue is $13,000,000 per quarter.

    It will be even less if they attempt to pay back into the facility.

    If Item 8.3 continues at about $26 million, per quarter,

    March quarter cash will be $53.750,000.
    June quarter cash will be $40,750,000.
    Sept quarter cash will be $$27,750,000.

    CR????? They have to keep a tight control on expenditure. It will be in strife by end of year.

    Keep an eye on the cash flow and cash in bank; 5B will be a revelation.

    MIO, please correct me as necessary. I want to avoid that TAFE finance course.

    What do you reckon?



 
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