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15/09/22
20:46
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Originally posted by Battersea:
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The Chinese shareholders can hold down the price of the shares indefinitely and then make a lowball bid and essentially buy a company which is potentially worth 2 to $3 for let's say $.65. I don't know whether there will be extra inducement made to management to ensure the success of the bid per Gwahir's post. Strictly the BOD are trustees (what the Americans called fiduciaries) – trustees of the company for shareholders – if shareholders felt that there was a breach of trust that would have to be addressed by litigation or report to the regulators, in this case the ASX. I repeat what I said in earlier posts that what is needed is a powerful buyer to come in and get the stock moving – someone like T Rowe Price or another gold company or a hedge fund – a spoiler in effect. The BOD claims that they can resist a hostile takeover because they speak for 40% of the shares and they would expect that another 11% at least would support them. My experience of bids is that it's every man for himself and you can never tell what shareholders will actually do and the 40% may be fanciful. It all comes down to the same thing – get the frickin’ stock moving - admittedly hard when 10% or whatever of the share capital can be deployed to keep a lid on the share price!
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If the share price was being held down, then wouldn’t the board do a buyback to boost the share price? They can buy up to 10% of shares on issue without shareholder approval and the FCF this thing will generate in 2023 means they could buy back 10% of their shares in 6 months (a bit like Whitehaven Coal). Just means pay day for shareholders is delayed to mid-22.