AGS 0.00% 17.5¢ alliance resources limited

ags future earnings scenario.

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    AGS Future earnings.
    Assumptions 275 Million shares on issue.
    Heathgate cranks up production from 1.5 Million Pounds in 2010 to 4.5 Million Pounds in 2012.
    Heathgate gain permission to increase production and install additional extraction plant.
    Price of Uranium is A$100 in 2010 and increases by 5% pa.
    Extraction costs and use of Heathgate facilities A$25 and increasing by 5% pa.
    Yr Tot Prod AGS25% Mkt Pr ExtCost GrInc Div ShPr
    2010 1.5M LB 375,000 A$100 A$25 A$28M nil A$1.45
    2011 3.0M LB 750,000 A$105 A$26 A$59M nil A$3.00
    2012 4.5M LB 1.125M A$110 A$28 A$92M 13c A$4.50
    2013 4.5M LB 1.125M A$116 A$30 A$96M 15c A$4.90
    2014 6.0M LB 1.500M A$122 A$60 A$93M 15c A$4.90
    2015 7.5M LB 1.750M A$128 A$63 A$114M 17c A$5.80
    2016 9.0M LB 2.250M A$135 A$66 A$157M 23c A$8.00

    Any refinements and comments are welcome and please be aware that I know little about getermining the value of a company, so take it easy on me. These figures are for amusement only. However if my logic and ball-park figuresare proved correct then lets hope Heathgate do not get full ownership of this resource.
    dyor I hold AGS,
 
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Currently unlisted public company.

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