ABR 0.00% $2.65 american pacific borates limited

Ann: ABR US Listing to Benefit from US Boron Supply Constraints, page-14

  1. 1 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 1
    Daz

    if you check the last Rio result .. you will see they acknowledge demand for Boric Acid (which is just the base that Abr will sell ) demand is increasing and yet their supply is down 4%) they have problems with supply . By the way boric acid market is growing at 10-12% a year ..in full production ABR is 1 year supply not sure where they are going to crush the price if in full production .(previous posts )

    Further to that the boric acid price is now $850 usd vs 750 3 months ago .

    Just curious on who you think is bringing new supply into the mkt ? Rio Jadar 2029, INR ? Are they fully permitted ?(already pushed out production estimates by a year ) so at best 2025..

    On that topic ..which company is actually permitted to bring new supply on globally ?

    Has been no delay to full production ,if anything today is trying to say it will be brought forward .

    Lots of talk about why Drill further ..? You drill to expand mine life and to better head grade assumptions . Previous announcements 3.7% ..image if you double that if not triple it ..what does that mean extension of mine life and you use less water .

    Turkish Government ? Can’t keep up with demand .(if they were flooding the mkt price would not be moving up )

    US listing ..yes they will list in US and assume they will raise money at some stage in 2022 ..to put something in construction/production at conservative 400m ebitda profile 2026/2027 .. so what multiple would you like to put that on . ? Rio trades 6 x ,albermale trades 30times .

    So you are right dilution will occur ..but you dilute to grow . Put 400m ebitda on a 6 times multiple ..500m Mkt cap looks very cheap .

    What makes a mkt ..buyers /sellers . Happy that you voice your opinion that this is over valued .. hence you are a seller ..but given every time they announce you post something negative so assume you must have a lot of stock to sell .

    As a long term shareholder daily price movements frustrate ,but if you believe in the thematic long term ..current mkt noise will be irrelevant.
 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add ABR (ASX) to my watchlist

Currently unlisted public company.

arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.