It's expensive relative to other coalers if you don't consider the free cash flow is being used to pay down the debt.
Tables below are not perfect; use at your own risk.... I haven't properly calculated royalties, just estimated... blah blah blah...
Feel free to copy and share back. Correct me if I'm wrong.
First table is an approximation of todays valuation.
Second table assumes one year beyond three year payback with $1.8b cash in bank.
Also assume that fx & coal price remain static and at the lower end of expectations ... both of which are the most significant risks within this transaction.
Provided that WHC pays down all the debt within 3 years, things will be looking rather good by the end of 2027.
IMHO the biggest risk is the fx rate.
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