DRE dreadnought resources ltd

Ann: AGM Presentation, page-2

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    I enjoy playing with AI large language models, but as way shown with that it spat out for the SOM resource, they are often very off the mark, nevertheless I have input the AGM data into Claude for a valuation:

    Based on the presentation data and current market conditions, I can attempt a rough sum-of-parts valuation. However, I should note that this is an approximation given the early stage of many projects and market uncertainties.

    Star of Mangaroon Gold Project:

    • Resource: 23,300oz @ 12.8g/t Au
    • Simple NPV calculation assuming:
      • Gold price: $3,000 AUD/oz
      • Mining costs: $120/t
      • Processing costs: $50/t
      • Recovery: 95%
      • Small open pit operation
      • 2-year mine lifeEstimated NPV: $30-35M for current resource
    Additional exploration upside: $15-20MTotal Project Value: $45-55M
    • Gifford Creek REE-Nb Project:
    1. Yin REE Deposit:
    • 29.98Mt @ 1.04% TREO
    • Using peer comparison metrics of $3-5/t of resourceEstimated Value: $90-150M
    1. C3 REE-Nb Deposit:
    • 10.84Mt @ 1.0% TREO, 0.22% Nb2O5
    • Higher value due to Nb contentEstimated Value: $40-60M

    Other Projects (Strategic Value):

    1. Mangaroon Ni-Cu-PGE:
    • Early stage but significant strike length
    • JV potentialEstimated Value: $15-25M
    1. Bresnahan Project:
    • Multiple commodities
    • Early stageEstimated Value: $8-12M
    1. Tarraji-Yampi:
    • Copper-gold discovery
    • Strategic review underwayEstimated Value: $10-15M
    1. Central Yilgarn:
    • Multiple commodities
    • Advanced JV discussionsEstimated Value: $5-10M

    Sum-of-Parts Valuation:

    1. Core Projects:
    • Star of Mangaroon: $45-55M
    • Gifford Creek Complex: $130-210M
    1. Secondary Projects: $38-62M
    2. Cash Position: $2.1M
    3. Enterprise Value Components:Gross Asset Value: $215-329MLess:
    • Corporate costs
    • Development capital requirements
    • Dilution risk
    • Market discount for early stage projects (40-50%)

    Implied Company Value Range: $108-165M

    Current Market Cap: $56.3M

 
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