Ann: Annual Report to shareholders, page-9

  1. 3,053 Posts.
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    ah here's the money shot.

    unobservables.png

    They've upped the discount rate by 3%, increased the harvesting costs, reduced the yield per tree from 19.6kg to 14.6kg (still north of reality), and reduced the oil content from 3.7% to 3.2%.

    The yield and oil content reductions account for a reduction in the biological assets of 36% - I'd previously assumed they'd changed the pricing assumption. They haven't! They've wiped 36% from the value of their assets due to more realistic silvicultural outcomes.

    Which still leaves the expected price at USD2800/kg of oil - which they stand zero chance of realising. Updating that to anything more realistic leaves QIN with negative asset value.

    Clever old Glaucus.
 
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