I am struggling with the table function... But hopefully this comes through okay...
Rough numbers and very high level, however based on the forecast information provided in the reports of; EBITDA, D&A, Finance Costs and Tax rate, and then assuming $15M for significant items (less than FY18 assuming no acquisitions in FY19) I have calculated that NPAT and EPS range based on the forecasts provided is;
NPAT: $88-101.5M
EPS: 26.5-30.5c
IMO this would allow Pact to easily maintain the dividend of 23c... This implies;
Future P/E: 11.1 - 12.8
Forecast Div Yield: 6.8%
On these numbers it does look appealing, especially given the growth they have achieved (even if this has been achieved by acquisition), though I do wish had more interest cover and lower debt in general.
FY18 Actual FY19 Forecast 1 Revenue $1,674M Higher, no estimate 2 EBITDA $237M $270-285M 3 D&A $72M $84-86M 4 EBIT $165M $184M 5 6 Finance Costs $32.1M $38-40M 7 Significant Items $23.3 No estimate, assume $15M (no acquisition) 8 Tax Rate 29.5% 29-29.5% 9 NPAT (before significant items) $95M $103 - $116.5M 10 NPAT $74.5M $88 - $101.5M 11 Shares 318.6M 332.5M 12 EPS 23.4c 26.5c - 30.5c 13 DPS 23.0c ???
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