Just to come back on the valuation metrics, a fair value would probably be between 1 x and 2 x book value, given the estimated ROE of around 20 % on a cycle.
This large range depends on what cost of equity we are taking : using COE of 10 % justifies a P/B of 2, while a COE of 20 % justifies a P/B of 1.
ATP uses a COE of 20 % in its annual report, while I tend to use a COE of around 10 % for a company like Atlas.
Taking the most conservative assumption that ATP should be valued at 1 x book value, we have also to take into account the increase of their book value : + 33 % in FY 22 and + 42 % in FY 23.
As the pricing effect should enable another significant increase of earnings (and book value) for FY 24, there is a large upside potential for the share price thanks both the expected increase of P/B and book value.
Of course based on 2 main assumptions : flat volume of sales and pricing remaining at today's level.
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ATP
atlas pearls ltd
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Just to come back on the valuation metrics, a fair value would...
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Last
14.0¢ |
Change
0.000(0.00%) |
Mkt cap ! $61.46M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
14.5¢ | 14.5¢ | 14.0¢ | $9.706K | 68.55K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
17 | 1090933 | 14.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
14.5¢ | 33182 | 2 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
17 | 1090933 | 0.140 |
8 | 331352 | 0.135 |
8 | 190868 | 0.130 |
5 | 74801 | 0.125 |
5 | 27129 | 0.120 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.145 | 33182 | 2 |
0.150 | 90671 | 2 |
0.155 | 68276 | 4 |
0.160 | 852522 | 10 |
0.165 | 443226 | 8 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 18/06/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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