Thanks for that. I'm not as good as you at drawing the...

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mikesz

2,178 Posts.

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06/01/20

15:34

Post #: 42247939
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Originally posted by Silent-Bubbles: ↑

And why not ...... Because clearly this ..... the NAL Bid is SYA's ' Black Swan ' event which is being allowed to unfold in a very systematic and orderly fashion.

And Companies can indeed have their own ' Black Swan ' moments independently and separate from the wider influences of their specific markets or the indeed the broader market.

To illustrate , I would draw your attentions to one great company specific comparison between LPD verses SYA and it's larger PRODUCING Sister company AJM as shown in the Chart below. Notice my date reference on the chart of 23rd April which signifies the ' Counter Trend ' high achieved by LPD against ALL of its peers following it's trading halt on 10th April announcement on 11th April of a 210% increase in contained Lithium at Alvarroes. This announcement was then followed up 1 week later with their ' Pilot Plant commissioning . Shortly after that , there was then the double announcement on the 7th May 2019 regarding their Supply and Marketing tie-up with Gulf Fluor LLC and their Merger with Desert Lion which on paper virtually doubled their combined Lepidolite resources.

We therefore can see how these sorts of causation of events which culminate in an obvious and perceived ' Black Swan ' event can have on ANY company's Share Price. However , I would argue strongly that what is happening ....or moreover potentially unfolding in SYA's case has indeed far more potential to move the SP in much larger integers that that of LPD which occurred less than 9 months ago.

So I agree with you @mikesz - Only I would emphasize the fact that ' SWAN's ' Black or otherwise can FLY. In fact with a tailwind..... they can even record speeds of between 80 klm's - 96.56 klm's per hour ..... and have been know to FLY reach lofty heights of between 6,000 - 8,000 Feet .... And the Tundra Swans have been reported to travel vast distances of almost 500 kilometers on their migration flights.

So we may in fact have been the ' Black Sheep ' of the Lithium Industry , but have quickly transformed ourselves into the Amazing ' Black Swan ' who's about to FLY high at Incredible speeds in covering great amounts of ground in re-rating our SP.......

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Thanks for that. I'm not as good as you at drawing the correlations the way you did but I do like the SWAN analogy.

I would think a WHITE SWAN is more apt though. Lithium being the colour it is and all.

SYA Price at posting: 1.7¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
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0 Great analysis

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