Long time holder, first time poster on this stock.
The 4C was pretty much right on the money from my perspective. Extrapolate out with some back-of-envelope assumptions, Q-on-Q growth of 15% (conservative with Menicon yet to contribute meaningfully), costs increasing at 3%, and you reach CF+ in the first quarter 2023, with being able to spend roughly up to $7M of the cash balance on clinical trials and development.
Good situation to be in.
The fundamentals of this company are attractive IMO:
- Distinctive and protected tech
- Huge market opportunity
- Established distribution in multiple countries already in place
- Revenue consistently coming in the door
- Sensible management - COVID response was first class
- Multinational partner, with the potential of more partersnhips to come (J&J)
- Strong support from Thorney - they seem willing to throw money at this whenever it is needed.
- Extremely attractive as an acquistion for a larger player should management see the right deal on the table.
Share price is annoying, and the consolidation hasn't (yet) delivered any benefit, but this was always a position that was going to require patience.
I'll be adding to my position at these levels (or lower as weak hands get tired of waiting) when I can.
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Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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2 | 16965 | 10.0¢ |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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11.5¢ | 172 | 1 |
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2 | 16965 | 0.100 |
1 | 10309 | 0.097 |
1 | 10427 | 0.096 |
1 | 12000 | 0.095 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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0.115 | 172 | 1 |
0.120 | 53 | 1 |
0.130 | 43358 | 1 |
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