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14.5¢ locality planning energy holdings limited

Ann: Appendix 4C - quarterly, page-54

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Chopinv

110 Posts.

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25/05/18

13:06

Post #: 33308827
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Originally posted by getready ↑

From your chart I looked at % revenue increase from the previous quarter vs % COGS from previous quarter. From there I subracted %COGS increase from %revenue increase to see if there was a trend forming. In an ideal world you would expect a similar revenue increase the following quarter in line with the COGS increase.

I corrected (brought forward) %COGS increase by one quarter to try and match it with corresponding revenue assuming there is a quarter lag in receiving revenue from those COGS. This is what it came out like.

View attachment 1117397
A negative number means COGS increased by a higher % than revenue and a positive number the opposite.

Obviously early on wild swings were evident due to low baseline numbers showing big % swings. This FY things have smoothed out as the business grows (especially Q1 and 3 showing near exact correlation). Interesting that there is a negative differential (predicted) this quarter which perhaps is an indication (or confirmation) that a greater number of strata have moved to a quarterly billing cycle and hence receipts may span 2 quarters.

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https://www.aemo.com.au/-/media/Fil...rocedure---Settlement---clean---18Apr2017.pdf

Do we need to understand this fully to try to match COGs to Revenue?

LPE Price at posting: 1.9¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
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0 Great analysis

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