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Ann: Appendix 4D and Half Year Financial Report, page-141

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    EDUCATION PIECE by Market Index.

    UNDERSTANDING SHARE BUYBACKS

    Share buybacks (sometimes called stock buybacks) occur when a company buys back its own shares from the public market.

    “Since 1997, share repurchases have surpassed cash dividends and become the dominant form of corporate payout in the U.S.,” notes S&P Global.

    The idea is to reduce the number of shares in circulation to increase the value of each remaining share.

    For example:

    Let’s say that XYZ company has 1 billion shares outstanding, and earns $5bn in annual profits. This gives the stock an earnings per share (EPS) of $5.

    Now, let’s imagine the company buys back 100m of its own shares:

    • This reduces the outstanding shares to 900m.
    • Assuming profits remain level, the EPS goes up to $5.56 (i.e. $5bn / 900m shares).

    Why perform a buyback?

    • Buybacks can make a stock more attractive to investors by increasing the company’s EPS.
    • Buybacks also increase the concentration of a company's ownership among existing shareholders.
    • They can also signal that the company is confident in their future growth prospects (otherwise the company wouldn’t be buying their own shares).
    • In the absence of compelling growth opportunities or debt reduction, share buybacks can be an attractive and easy option for companies with surplus cash.

    However, there’s more to the story:

    Companies know that some investors look at share buybacks as a sign that a stock is undervalued.

    This means they can sometimes be used as a tool to manipulate public perception – rather than a clear sign of future growth prospects.

    Companies may buy back shares for a variety of reasons, not just because they believe their stock is undervalued. They might be trying to:

    • Boost EPS to meet internal financial targets.
    • Artificially boost the price of their stock, without delivering improved value.
    • Offset the dilutive effects of stock-based compensation (this is where employees and executives receive shares or stock options as part of their compensation).

    Also worth noting: as markets have become increasingly flooded with liquidity (from governments pumping cash into the system in the wake of the GFC), the volume of buybacks has increased substantially.

    Just take a look at this chart:


    How do the numbers look?

    During the ten years after the GFC, Bruce Dravis (past chair of the American Bar Association's corporate governance committee) studied US$1.23 trillion in Fortune 100 company buybacks. He found that:

    • 36.9% of buybacks were done to offset equity compensation dilution.
    • 63.1% of buybacks were so-called ‘pure play’ buybacks that aimed to reduced share count without motivation to offset equity compensation.

    When’s the best time to do a buyback?

    At Berkshire Hathaway’s 2004 annual meeting, Warren Buffet shared a simple rule of thumb for buybacks:

    “When stock can be bought below a business’s value it is probably the best use of cash.”

    Of course, that’s easier said than done.

    “The tough part is coming up with the intrinsic value. There is a lot more to intrinsic value than P/E,” he said in 2016. He’s also said that there is no single metric that can justify or reject a buyback; instead, a combination of factors must be considered.

    Buybacks can also raise a possible red flag. If a company is doing a buyback, it might be because they can’t think of a good acquisition, asset purchase, or other capital-intensive business expense to deploy their cash towards instead.

    Apple’s massive buybacks:

    Berkshire Hathaway’s largest investment is Apple - which has been prolific with share buybacks.

    • In 2022, Apple bought back around US$90bn of its own shares.
    • In 2021, they bought back about US$85.5bn.
    • Over the past decade, they’ve spent over US$550bn on buybacks - more than any other US company.

 
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