CXZ 0.00% 2.9¢ connexion mobility ltd

Ann: Appendix 4E, Full Year Statutory Accounts and Annual Report, page-39

  1. 3,387 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 4561
    Agreed, someone is trying to cap the price at 2.7c.

    This is an outstanding annual result for CXZ - I'm in.

    Current Valuation:
    • 863m shares on issue
    • Thus, at 3c, we are looking at a circa $25M MC
    • 3c is a PE of 8 on the FY20 result (a high growth tech company should be trading way higher than a PE of 8)
    • 3c is a recurring revenue multiple of 3x (a recurring revenue multiple of 3x is way too low for a company growing revenue at >100% p.a.)

    Fair Valuation Using the PEG Method:
    • NPAT was up more than 500% to $3.2m
    • For a PEG=0.1, a fair valuation would be ~500 / 10 x $3.2m = $160m MC
    • A $160m MC is a share price of 18.5c

    Alternatively on a revenue multiple approach:
    • Total revenue was up 130% to $8.2m
    • Using the 1PSR per 10% rule of thumb
    • The fair value revenue multiple is 130% / 10% = 13x
    • 13x x $8.2m equals a market cap of $106m
    • A $106m MC is a share price of 12.4c

    The fair value range is somewhere between 12c and 18c (a market cap between $100M and $160M).

    I've loaded up at 2.6c and 2.7c

    Watch it fly once accumulation is done.

    T.E.P.
    Last edited by T.E.P.: 21/08/20
 
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