AQZ 1.32% $3.07 alliance aviation services limited

The Embraer Fleet Update provided the status of the aircraft and...

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    The Embraer Fleet Update provided the status of the aircraft and that "The full 30 aircraft are to be utilised for expansionary purposes".
    When all 30 are revenue generating is still an unknown. This from their HY Results announcement:

    Outlook
    Alliance retains a positive outlook for the 2021 financial year with growth forecast for FY2022
    and beyond based on:
    • Additional capacity available for our existing contract and charter client base;
    The recently announced wet lease agreement with QANTAS is due to commence by
    mid-2021 with three aircraft entering service with an option to increase to a total of 14
    aircraft;

    • Alliance will continue to pursue dry lease and other wet lease opportunities within
    Australia and the Pacific. Alliance’s strategic goal is to become the pre-eminent wet
    lease operator in these regions;
    • RPT revenues are expected to continue to increase as border restrictions are lifted and
    passenger movements increase;
    • Aviation services revenue from part sales, engine and component leasing, aerodrome
    services and other engineering activities is expected to increase as other carriers
    increase capacity and fleet utilisation

    Fleet Management & Expansion
    During the half year Alliance announced the acquisition of 30 Embraer E190 aircraft with
    settlement to occur between September 2020 and November 2021. Three aircraft have been
    delivered to Australia and are expected to be deployed mid-2021. Due to the timing of the
    deliveries and the deployment schedule it is forecast that the additional aircraft will not have a
    material impact on the 2021 earnings however will increase earnings for the 2022 financial
    year and beyond.

    As Zandrax has pointed out there is nothing unexpected in todays announcement, yet share price up over 5%.
    According to Market Screener there are 4 analysts with a mean consensus Buy and average target price of $5.09 suggesting material upside still to come. Hopefully as management make further announcements regarding the deployment of the new aircraft market sentiment will follow.

 
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