ARL 1.56% 63.0¢ ardea resources limited

$100m into DFS for 35% of the project values ARL at $280m at...

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    $100m into DFS for 35% of the project values ARL at $280m at face value

    I'm surprise consortia can only earn up to 50% of the project.

    this looks bullish to me, combined with Madeleine Kings comments on the release.

    I think we will see a huge slice of the capex coming from Australian and Japanese debt, and offtake terms that de risk the debt via a price floir

    which means we are walking into 50% of a mega project with minimal dilution and plenty of free cash flow

    I need to model up some scenarios but I see us comfortably being a $3b++ entity as this project hits production with minimal dilution - I.e. we nudge $15 by say 2027...

    given the very significant de risking, the market could easily make this a $5-10 stock and hold us there while the finance terms are worked through
 
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