IAG insurance australia group limited

"They.... have the lions share of the Australian market, they...

  1. 17,748 Posts.
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    "They.... have the lions share of the Australian market, they are too scared to implement changes or premiums in case they lose customers."

    What you've described there is no pricing power and limited customer adherence.

    Unwittingly, you make my argument for me, namely that this is a fundamentally flawed business.


    "In my view, Nick hawkins and team, who were part of the culture that has seen IAG have missteps with Business insurance and so many other fiascos, are still in the job, and still making a mockery of the running of the company. I dont see him as a great leader, inspiring change, and doing away with their legacy systems and approach"

    Times like now are nothing new for IAG (or any general insurer, for that matter).

    Read the IAG Annual Reports for the past 25 years and you'll come across frequent earnings missteps... which occurred under various incarnations of management.

    And frequent earnings missteps are not confined to IAG either; ditto for QBE, SUN, TWR
    (For QBE the effect is masked by the frenetic global acquisition foray during the Frank O'Hallaran era, but even after the lancing of the various corporate boils that arose from that acquisition spree, QBE is still only managing to eke out a 11% ROE, despite its significant scale).

    And there is no better arbiter of this kind of thing than the equity market: the chronic under-performance of the share prices of the insurance sector over time is unequivocal (as others on this forum have already pointed out).

    If, over any reasonable long-term period, you placed a structural short on the general insurers and recycled the proceeds into buying the Index, you'd be in a vastly enhanced financial position today.

    Imagine someone came to you and said,

    "I have a company for sale. It has no pricing power and has no control of its expenses and has an inability - demonstrated over long period of time - to even predict what those expenses might be."

    Would you be chomping at the bit to get involved in such a business?

    .
 
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