AVH 0.75% $2.65 avita medical inc.

Ann: AVITA Medical Q4 2023 Investor Presentation, page-2

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    Another insightful investor briefing this morning which I think should provide investors (who watch it) with added confidence in the Company delivering on, or exceeding, their guidance and goals.

    Key Takeaways:
    • By the end of 2024, they anticipate they'll be approved in ~200 new trauma centres. 15 or so expected to be approved every month. Targeted trauma centres with highest skin graft rates first (high volume centres);
    • Feedback for surgeons: willing to use in the broader indication; intend to use on smaller wounds (<5%TBSA) which is a reason for RECELL mini development;
    • RECELL mini: has breakthrough device designation (180-day review). Currently doing same testing as was done with RECELL GO. Expect to submit in June and receive FDA approval by the end of the year (2024);
    • Aiming to commence production of RECELL GO by April 1 (for May 31 launch);
    • PermeaDerm revenue is not included in FY24 guidance. Launching in mid-March;
    • PermeaDerm revenue example: For a 10% tbsa wound treated with PermeaDerm ~ Product selling price would be $2100-$2200 x50% (gross margin) = $1050-$1100 additional revenue/procedure (for minimal additional costs). PermeaDerm has more eligible procedures (more competition? sounding like a superior product) than RECELL does
    • Addition of dermal scaffold product to portfolio: currently animal testing with multiple products to find the most suitable. Expect co-development program in 2024;
    • Revenue is expected to grow in excess of 50% for 4-5 years from U.S. burns and FTSD;
    • Cash burn is expected to decrease over the next ~6 quarters to profitability in 2025;
    • No further significant non-cash items in 2024;
    • CFO sounded quietly confident of not requiring the 2x$25 tranches, and might not need to tap into the $40M which is currently earning over 5% interest;
    • Business is recession resistant due non-elective surgeries;
    • Upgrading manufacturing facility capacity to ~80,000 kits/year. Upgrade scheduled for completion mid 2024.
    • Vitiligo results from TONE and health economics studies won't be released prior to them being published to avoid outside influence;
    • Vitiligo expansion expected to be funded by excess cash made during the profitable phase.
 
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