Correct Aaron (not that I see one project as being mutually exclusive of the other).
Some points of difference worth noting, both positive and negative.
From a corporate perspective, analyst modelling doesn't ascribe any value to BH which is a massive driver of value, if BH secures BTAs from any of several (domestic, US or offshore Canadian sources).
- Geographical advantages should assist both but of course it's far more complicated than that.
- Goldboro have 5mtpa TA with Uniper (formerly E.ON) but $8.3bn capex (mid 2014 est) double that of BH (at that time) for 2 trains of 5mpta each (c.f. BH's 8mtpa)
- (E.ON are the ultimate end user of Meridian contract LNG under their BTA (which may be upsized).
- BH have all required approvals in place, Goldboro still have a number outstanding.
- FID for both slated for end 2016
- BH was in FEED using KBR but following last week's ann. unclear if any 'go slow' necessitated by the current climate
- Delivery: originally end 2020 for Goldboro with BH year earlier. Again, I suspect both may slip given current climate, but frankly who really knows?
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