MGV 0.00% 39.0¢ musgrave minerals limited

Agree with what you have written RoyE.The offer is 1DCN =...

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    Agree with what you have written RoyE.

    The offer is 1DCN = 2.7NTM. Currently DCN = 35.5c so NTM share is valued at 13.1c.

    NTM has SOI = 693 100 000 and cash $5 215 000 for an EV of $85 914 815.

    Its resource is 679 000oz at 1.57g/oz, so EV/oz = $126.59

    These calcs don't take into consideration your correct view that high grade is worth more.

    MGV share is currently 42c, SOI = 475 000 000, cash = $8 227 000 for an EV = $191 273 000.

    Now this is the tricky bit, what is their resource? The last declaration was 659 000oz @ 3.2g/t (Noosa presentation).

    So MGV EV/oz = $290.25

    NTM/MGV resource grade ratio = 1.57/3.2 = 0.49

    So adjusted MGV EV/oz = 0.46 * 290.25 = $142.22 (compared with NTM $126.59).

    But... all depends on any resource upgrade from MGV and MGV's resource is twice as high making for cheaper extraction.

    Conclusion:

    MGV is reasonably priced when comparing with NTM take over price with possible upside news moving MGV to a cheap price.



    Last edited by dwayne pipe: 18/11/20
 
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