You don't (I certainly don't) have to try and nut it out myself....

  1. 16,680 Posts.
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    You don't (I certainly don't) have to try and nut it out myself. The economists have done the work and if you follow what they say one knows other answer.

    In general the currencies move on the basis of interest rate moves intended to speed or slow the economy to 'keep inflation in check and maximise employment. Everything flows for that (with lots of internal "auto- stabilizers"). It's why all eyes are on the fed as to when it stops raising rates. The raising of rates will pull the US economy up to recession +/- bad. I don't think we need to worry about dramatic moves in the value of the USD. If the large cap tech stocks propping up the SP500 get found out on poor earnings, in those (panic) conditions there tends to be a flight to safety / rush to the USD. Other Central banks are tooling around buying gold right now to cushion that.

    All IMVHO.
 
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