I don't mind being proven wrong on occasion. I just think that by now there has been about a week to start the flow test of Alemada, which is enough time to get an indication of whether the section will flow or not. When it came to Marti I can only assume that they tried to induce flow and held off until they knew it required a washout or fracc.
These things happen and I've been in a few interesting investments that had similar outcomes. Most did well and others not so well. Geology is a fickle beast, always wanting to prove one wrong but then it can be oh so right.
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