Cashflow model:
Assuming the processing plant operates at 15% above nameplate capacity, spot gold price at $3,000/ounce, Klondyke ore at 0.9g/t Au and same debt repayment schedule, quarterly cashflow as below:
Cash inflows:
Klondyke:
620kt milled x 0.9g/t Au x 95% recovery = 17k ounces
Blue Bar:
70kt milled x 1.94g/t x 95% recovery = 4k ounces
Cash inflow at average selling price @ $2,650 per ounce and 21k production= $56M
Cash outflows:
Existing operational costs:
$37M to be reduced to $33M with reduced strip ratios (DR referenced a $4M reduction in mining costs in latest conference call).
Debt repayment, interest plus other costs: $12.5M
Mining and transportion of Blue Bar ore:
$1000 per ounce cost (conservative): $4M for 4k ounces produced
Payment to HAO: $12/t = $840,000 for 70kt
Cash outflows: $50M
NET free cashflow: $6M per quarter
Bear in mind, in all likelihood, CAI has negotiated a significant deferral of payments to MAH to conserve cash position and prevent a capital raise therefore any surplus cash generated in H2 will be used to satisfy our creditor obligations.
Rough estimate of adjustment payment to HAO is $1-2M per quarter, payable in the next financial year.
Looking forward to free-cashflow in the next financial year with Bulletin coming online - expect free-cashflow of $8M per quarter allowing for HAO payments/profit share on Bulletin.
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