SIP will definitely be out of the ASX200 at the next rebalance. I estimate they need a market cap of around $700 million to remain in the index.
However, if their share price falls to 0.275, there will be a risk they will be out of the ASX300 as well....
I am sure the ASX200 index funds have already been reducing their positions in anticipation, but if there are any ASX300 index funds then they might need to reduce as well.
I reckon it would take one negative financial covenant announcement and the stock price will fall quickly to 0.30 and then further again.
SIP will definitely be out of the ASX200 at the next rebalance....
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