ALK 1.27% 40.0¢ alkane resources limited

Numbers as they stand stack pretty like for like with CVV which...

  1. 9,054 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 3945
    Numbers as they stand stack pretty like for like with CVV which is valued at A$100m. If you back A$75-100m out of our current MC I still think it makes Tomingley look cheap even considering recent miss steps (if that is how you want to phrase it).

    To @Antipater_100 point this will end up a much longer life project than 17 years, once initial capex hurdle is gone then the requirement for additional material to make a profit will be a lot lower and this will go for decades.

    On this basis an NPV kind of becomes a little redundant too. Numbers that are important are capex, payback period and annual EBITDA/FCF

    AISC of A$600 on 150koz is cheap. That is basically $450m EBITDA/yr at spot prices.

    Maybe they can consider non owner operated fleet etc and bring capex down and push opex up a little at the start to make the hurdle a little easier.

    Grade for the 20Mtpa scenario is pretty low 0.26g/t Au and 0.15% Cu. First 5 years a bit higher at like 0.32g/t and 0.18% Cu

    If we can find a 50Mt near surface pocket somewhere of even say 0.45g/t and 0.25% Cu (not asking for miracles) then that would make a huge difference in payback period and likelihood of project getting up.

    At the end of the day this was always a bull market asset and this SS to me confirms that it is a pretty reasonable one.

    Only takes a few things to go right and it gets a lot better
 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add ALK (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
Last
40.0¢
Change
0.005(1.27%)
Mkt cap ! $241.3M
Open High Low Value Volume
40.5¢ 40.5¢ 39.5¢ $217.3K 543.2K

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
2 8800 40.0¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
40.5¢ 140277 5
View Market Depth
Last trade - 16.10pm 06/09/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
ALK (ASX) Chart
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.