Qwakko. Exploration is more of a black art than a science. Rarely do we drill the biggest target first. We generally pick a lower risk well that can supply critical data that will lead to better success on other targets.
You might be interested to know that the NE Shelf commercial gas was discovered on the 8th exploration well.
Hope this helps
The Captain
Ann: Borba Operations Update and Prospective Resource, page-67
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