Forecasts and Revisionist Rubbish
When i looked to do some basic forecasts, or more accurately extrapolations, I noticed that I had referred to $9m of cash costs last year. Not sure where I got that from (apologies to the ghost). Its more like $7.3m, before listing costs. (I think I'd used the $7m figure earlier). There's also $385m of D&A in that FY23 number, so I will switch to calling my numbers EBIT. EBIT is probably a pretty good proxy for cash flow with capex being around that D&A level (FY23 capex was $200k). Like many of these tech companies, they tend to expense most of development costs. Anyway, half year costs were still with $4.5m, without details given, so total costs somewhere between $7m and $9m. I will stick with $9m for FY24 forecast.
Anyway, table below assumes continue to add $750k net ARR per month. Hopefully in real life, something more exciting happens with new product developments.
YE March FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26 1 $(000's) Actual Forecast 2 Revenue 1,431 4,609 11,438 20,437 3 COGS 730 1,273 2,859 5,109 4 GP 701 3,336 8,578 15,328 5 49.0% 72.4% 75.0% 75% 6 Expenses 7,330 9,056 8,000 8,000 7 EBIT -6,629 -5,720 578 7,328
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