BAL 0.00% $13.23 bellamy's australia limited

Ann: Business Update, page-98

  1. 1,117 Posts.
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    Quick little calculation of PE ratio based on FY17 profit guidance:

    Low range
    NPAT $15.7m
    Shares on issue 96m
    EPS $0.16
    SP $4.50
    PE Ratio 27.68

    High range
    NPAT $25.2m
    Shares on issue 96m
    EPS $0.26
    SP $4.40
    PE Ratio 17.24

    Given management performance this year, I'd say the low range is actually the high range. You do the maths on this and SP has a long way to go before it hits a reasonable PE ratio.

    Lets say a reasonable PE ratio is around 15-20? Based on the low range calcs, the SP would need to be between $2.50 to $3.50 to acheive this.

    I am not considering buying until the short sellers have got it to this range. Calculations reliant on the total shares on issue disclosed in the FY16 annual report.

    ALL IMO. DYOR.
 
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