I think it all depends on whether that holder in Hong Kong is in...

I think it all depends on whether that holder in Hong Kong is in for LG. This is where we're at:

LG - 25%
Weiss - 19%
Hong Kong - $26% (from memory)

So if Weiss and HK are in, then CGT goes to LG with a 70% holding.

If HK is out then LG/Weiss only need about 6%, which they can either buy or they might get in acceptances before the August acceptance deadline anyway. Either way, it looks like LG is going to get Castlemaine.