VEN 11.1% 0.8¢ vintage energy ltd

Ann: Cervantes-1 oil exploration well, page-47

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    The official chance of success figure given by MEL was 28%. The market cap of MEL was 1/3rd of VEN at the time, so traders betting on the oil well preferred MEL. Now, with the 'water discovery', the market cap of MEL is back to 1/3rd of VEN.

    Interestingly, VEN provided a market sensitive announcement when they received the approval to drill but they provided a non-price sensitive announcement after the water discovery (5 million barrels of oil net to VEN is significant considering the market cap has been under $100 million)



 
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