CYP cynata therapeutics limited

Hard to say - I guess Cynata is still very small and somewhat...

  1. 1,011 Posts.
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    Hard to say - I guess Cynata is still very small and somewhat illiquid, so it's hard for funds to take a position when an exit strategy may be difficult.

    It's interesting that since the CR, we have traded about 11.5M shares - approx 26% of the 44.4M issued. Assuming all of these sales were CR participants, I think it is a good result that at least 74% are still prepared to hold and not accept a quick 30% profit in 3 weeks.

    This is the first time since 2018 that the CYP share price has finished a calendar year higher than the beginning price. Unbelievable, but true.

    2024 also saw the first clinical trial readout since 2018 - the P1 Diabetic Foot Ulcer trial. The year after the 2018 GvHD results, CYP received a $2/share takeover bid. Given MSC's are now finally FDA approved, could we see a repeat in 2025?

    There are a number of exciting known catalysts on the horizon:

    P1/2 Renal Transplant Results: H1 2025 (Cohort A)
    P1/2 Renal Transplant Results: H2 2025 (Cohort B)
    P2 HR-aGvHD Results: Late 2025 (or early 2026)
    P3 Knee OA Results: March-April 2026

    Then there are the unknown catalysts:

    DFU Commercial Licensing Deal: 2025 (US$9.6Bn p.a. market size)
    Renal Transplant Licensing Deal: Late 2025/2026 (US$5.9Bn p.a. market size)
    GvHD Commercial Licensing Deal: H2 2026 (US$600M p.a. market size, potential upfront + milestone payments north of US$75M)
    Knee OA Commercial Licensing Deal: H2 2026 (US$11.6Bn p.a. market size)
    Takeover offer
    Preclinical indications brought into the clinic via government/tertiary funding

    Note the size of the GvHD market and the upfront+milestone payments, then compare with the market size of DFU, Renal and Knee OA. What would be payable for a commercial deal for any of them?

    Happily holding here while the market cap is sub US$100M.
 
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Last
16.5¢
Change
-0.005(2.94%)
Mkt cap ! $37.28M
Open High Low Value Volume
16.5¢ 17.0¢ 16.5¢ $39.66K 238.2K

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
5 277684 16.5¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
17.5¢ 14285 1
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Last trade - 16.10pm 16/06/2025 (20 minute delay) ?
CYP (ASX) Chart
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