Looking at the depth of buyers, there is a real chance we could hit 20cents by friday next week. Share price is dropping about 1 to 2 cents a day, but when the Fidelity notice hits (which I recon is today or Tuesday morning) advising that they have dropped even more and are no longer a significant holder, I feel the sell of will increase
Fidelity have to provide notice when they have sold 800k shares or so, from the 10th to the Close of business on the 15th there were 780k / 800k (shares) total trades, you can then see the big increase in volume from the 15th onward, then on the 16th & 17th trading went nuts.
Code Date Open High Low Close Volume Value Trades
BLA 10/04/2019 0.395 0.41 0.39 0.39 172,382 68981.115 168 1 BLA 11/04/2019 0.4 0.41 0.39 0.39 108,123 43401.965 102 2 BLA 12/04/2019 0.39 0.405 0.38 0.38 132,708 51494.315 34 3 BLA 15/04/2019 0.365 0.37 0.34 0.345 366,220 128279.215 75 4 BLA 16/04/2019 0.335 0.34 0.3 0.315 530,265 167799.76 146 5 BLA 17/04/2019 0.31 0.32 0.29 0.29 682,690 205451.14 170
Notice period is 2 days for change of holding, assuming that there were others but Fidelity being the driving force selling, they hit their notice requirement on the 16th and then with the balance selling their notice will say they are under the significant shareholder position and no longer required to advise the market.
Thats when the big sell off will start to occur and the price drop will accelerate until BLA updates the market on the Oaktree status.
So I'll be making my decision on if to punt a 2k on this friday next week
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