Hi @caketin and othersIts a very well researched article and will have facts that I knew but that I assume most shareholders won't have known. I have sold out because of the relevant risk that I see right now in PGC. The risks are outlined in the article but I think that the impact of the changeover is hugely understated.
It's my understanding that they have lost a few people which is normal in any roll-up. Personally, I think its fair value around 40c to 45c given the fact that it seems to have a few rocks in the path ahead - So if I owned I probably would hold to see the next set of results and decide on each bit of news. I am unhappy that management announced that it wanted to dispose of certain entities within the group way before they had done their homework in making sure that there would be a willing buyer at a reasonable price for these entities. So what they define as continuing business vs non-continuing business is really only in their own minds as to date over 6 months later no sale is forthcoming.
So my issues are:
1. The cost escalation that has now been addressed ... I question how it arose in the first place. I question whether the cost out won't put pressure on the growth. If cost out is people - what is the impact into the future.
2. As I understood it the accounting systems were all migrating to SAP Hana a more than an adequate program in my opinion - now once again they are migrating to a new platform. This process of change and trying to create a homogenous group all with one banner is, in my opinion, the very reason many M&A fails. Why would you assume that you need one group as that will probably result in many products drifting to the bottom of the pile? Having a large corporate structure for what is a population which is smaller than Texas makes little sense to me.
3. The big question is this: Is Mr AJ the right person for what is a small player with less than 3% of the market - it's my impression that his previous roles were with much larger multinationals?
4. I am also unhappy that the Chair has got other investments in a medical business that was delisted recently as I understand it.
5. The people I invested in have all left.
6. I am of the opinion that there are some investments that don't fit - Midas is one - it's still in a development phase.
It's still on my watch list but the likelihood of my reinvesting in this remains low. I have taken my profits and am very happy that I did, given the price it is today. It's sad but sometimes you have to move on.
So for me, this isn't on my radar right now but I keep watching hoping for it to get me excited again.
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- Ann: Change in substantial holding
PGC
paragon care limited
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36.5¢

Ann: Change in substantial holding, page-8
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Last
36.5¢ |
Change
0.010(2.82%) |
Mkt cap ! $604.1M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
36.0¢ | 37.0¢ | 36.0¢ | $84.33K | 230.4K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
4 | 59671 | 36.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
37.0¢ | 33911 | 2 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
4 | 59671 | 0.360 |
2 | 12816 | 0.355 |
3 | 57753 | 0.350 |
4 | 58764 | 0.345 |
6 | 55884 | 0.340 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.370 | 5458 | 1 |
0.375 | 14459 | 1 |
0.380 | 50000 | 1 |
0.385 | 10000 | 1 |
0.390 | 31837 | 2 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 30/06/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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