A2M the a2 milk company limited

1.10%

$8.27

Yep lot of truth in there but the difference between now and...

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Kasper61

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08/10/23

14:53

Post #: 70233161
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Originally posted by golddigger741: ↑

dont forget that:
Jane needed to "buy a house"
they now have a decent inventory system
they dont rely on daigou but have multiple channels to market
management has not sold anything since (are those specific people even there?)
are now entering the US IF the right way
have product diversity in the US and China ie coffee creamers etc
no comment on the cash - need to see action but better be debt free and have cash in the bank in aQT environment
chair - issue resolved

so in summary those issues were there at much higher prices and the business has resolved almost all of the above yet the share price was high when a2 was reliant on a bunch of daigou with a shoddy inventory system but is low when it has multiple channels to market better systems etc. almost a slow motion disconnect between fundamental events and SP

we are now below 2017 prices. yet the revenue is 3X and EPS is about 2X those levels. the company is spending money on marketing now and is in control of where and how its product is being sold yet its getting cheaper by the day. its cash flow positive and has a massive pile of cash so the share price can go to zero but it is fundamentally a valuable business and if the current SP trajectory continues someone will realise the value (not my preferred scenario). usually when the SP tanks its a sign of financial trouble - this is not the case here.

if we ignore the market sentiment and look at the business - today you are getting a better bargain than 2017 based on revenue, EPS, routes to market, new products in place, new products under development ie elderly, new markets ie US IF/Korea etc so logically it makes sense to buy this business now more than it did during the roaring days of the daigou when there was visible hype and people raiding Woolworths IF isles

all great business go through these periods. look at Tesla& Netflix with their massive roller coaster SP rides, Microsoft (SP flat for about a decade before the bull raged), McDonald's (we were all going to stop eating junk food in 2000's), Lynas (can always buy cheap rare earths from our biggest trading partner China), Fortescue, Whitehaven (coal is dead right?) yet after a passage of time they are back in fashion and you know what happens with the SP.

i wonder whether the November meeting will bring any new information to the market as I find the priadr a2 tweets equally informative as the Investor Relations department

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Yep lot of truth in there but the difference between now and 2017 is that the market has become significantly more controlled by bot trading hence the sp is easily manipulated and dragged down regardless of solid fundamentals. Its all perfectly legal of course (Loud Cough) so just have to suck it up and wait or do what they want and capitulate.

A2M Price at posting: $4.14 Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Held
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(20min delay)
Last $8.27		Change 0.090(1.10%)		Mkt cap ! $5.987B

Open	High	Low	Value	Volume
$8.18	$8.33	$8.16	$25.84M	3.148M

Buyers (Bids)

No.	Vol.	Price($)
1	3616	$8.26

Sellers (Offers)

Price($)	Vol.	No.
$8.27	12097	2

View Market Depth

No.	Vol.	Price($)
2	5066	8.200
1	594	8.160
1	617	8.100
1	9200	8.060
1	3000	8.040

Price($)	Vol.	No.
8.310	4500	1
8.320	2000	1
8.330	3979	6
8.340	48800	3
8.350	20619	10

Last trade - 16.10pm 20/06/2025 (20 minute delay)

A2M (ASX) Chart

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