BGL bellevue gold limited

Ann: Change in substantial holding, page-4

  1. 7,139 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 1817
    We removed something like 45k of hedges from the next 9 months using $110m?

    So:

    - If gold stays here, the $110m has no effect, we just get the $110m back.
    - But if AISC is below the original hedged price, we make some profit on those 45koz.
    - AND if production is >45koz, we were going to be selling that at spot anyway. I think projections are for >100koz for those 9 months? Maybe 110-115koz.

    So you're right - gold is high, and it's possible that we make quite a lot of cash.


    - FY25 AISC projected at $2475 (mid-point), and 157,500oz (mid-point). (Including 2 weak quarters)
    - FY26 projected at 150,000oz
    - FY27-29 190,000oz.

    FY26-27 AISC of $35-42m per month, 150-190koz pa = $2210-3360/oz AISC (mid-point $2785)



    So as a rough guess:

    FY26:
    150koz
    $2800/oz AISC
    30koz sold at $2750 (loss on the hedged ounces......? 2 quarters hedged. Means the AISC is pretty high...)
    120koz sold at $5000 (spot $5200 today)
    Cashflow after sustaining costs: $262m
    Minus other costs - corporate, debt repayment, hedge buy-backs, expansion, optional exploration.
    The 30koz hedged ounces had an effect of $329.6m -> $262m.

    FY27 would have 4 hedged quarters, but also some time to scale up a bit from the 150koz (higher revenue, improving AISC).


    That's my rough guess, if they meet projections, and gold falls 3-4% from here. And now the projections seem to be more conservative.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6961/6961179-cb2a12c5ab4d9f9e51361ac09de40eaf.jpg



    Not bad. It's sort of like a PE of 6, with room to expand if everything goes smoothly.
 
Add to My Watchlist
What is My Watchlist?
A personalised tool to help users track selected stocks. Delivering real-time notifications on price updates, announcements, and performance stats on each to help make informed investment decisions.
(20min delay)
Last
85.5¢
Change
-0.040(4.47%)
Mkt cap ! $1.262B
Open High Low Value Volume
89.5¢ 89.5¢ 85.5¢ $18.23M 20.97M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
37 399904 85.5¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
86.0¢ 168706 5
View Market Depth
Last trade - 16.10pm 25/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ?
BGL (ASX) Chart
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.