Best to leave it to a geologist. There are various models on calculating migration of oil.
To me it appears we are closer to the source kitchen. Hopefully they a mature source rocks still generating and not post mature. You can get immature rocks but we as oil has been generated we know they are either of the latter. We are not looking for the source but a trap (impermeable rock) where it is pooling. SNE would have been one trap.
Best to leave it to a geologist. There are various models on...
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