I put together a rough quarterly tracker but it's harder to validate since they stopped reporting trades in the quarterlies. FWIW my guesstimate revenue breakdown for September was:
Revenue: $3.9m interest, $3.2m from trades
Allowing for continued reduction in balances to (say) $500m but increase in average interest rate (small RBA rate increases only in Dec quarter but obtaining full benefit of the September quarter increases) I'm guessing: $4.5m interest, $2.9m trades for December quarter ($7.4m total revenue) which probably wouldn't be enough for cash flow positive (they spent more in December quarter than September quarter last financial year). I'm also unaware of any limits on their interest rate agreement with ANZ (or trading revenue may be even worse than these numbers) so very guesstimate as I've indicated.
This would at least keep the trend heading in the right direction (notwithstanding decreasing trading volumes/revenue) but at a slower pace than we'd hoped. All should be revealed within a couple of weeks.
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