Ok, fair enough, breakeven might be a stretch, but there’s definitely a path that doesn’t require a CR this year
Numbers below assume we’ll get two months of revenue from the launched sites this quarter, and the other sites will begin generating revenue from April. That might be unrealistic, but I’ve also included zero growth in sites through the entire year, which will obviously not happen. I’ve also assumed we will only get the minimum volume from each site. Margin I’ve used 50% even though the company is working to get that number up. Cost I’ve held steady as I don’t have visibility to where that might go. I also didn’t include any previous revenue streams, or any R&D refunds. It’s super simple, and I may be off on some things, but the point is it’s really not that hard to scale up revenue very quickly to get very close to cash neutral, even with conservative assumptions.
Jan-Mar
Apr-Jul
Aug-Oct
Nov-Dec
Launched
14
425,600
638,400
638,400
638,400
Contracted not launched
22
1,003,200
1,003,200
1,003,200
Aeroflow
7
319,200
319,200
319,200
Revenue
425,600
1,960,800
1,960,800
1,960,800
Margin (50%)
212,800
980,400
980,400
980,400
Cost (based on last HY)
2,600,000
2,600,000
2,600,000
2,600,000
Cash balance
6,172,960
4,553,360
2,933,760
1,314,160
Assumptions
20
Minimum quota per month
500
USD per unit
1.52
USD to AUD
OVN Price at posting:
54.0¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held