Calculation of EUR value and return on initial investment for different gas prices ,
Prices of natural gas per mmBTU vary by region and over time.
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Asia pacific region and Japan seem to attract premium prices of up to 19 to 25 dollars per mmBTU.
Also prices vary over time having reached over 9 usd/mmBTU only last year.
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We could speculate that the Trans Mountainpipeline imminent coming online will increase delivery capacity of 4100% from 100,000 to 4.1 million BOE/day thus reduce competition for previously scarce resource of pipeline carrying capacity thus decreasing pipeline gas transport cost as well as increasing demand for gas source as as the pipeline operators will want to utilize their new pipeline at 100%.
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Estimated of total value of EUR (Estimated Ultimate Recovery) Description , [ Units] at 2.7 USD / mmbtu 10 Bcf(Billion cubic feet) [ mcf ] 10,000,000 Conversion 1 mcf (natural gas) = 1 mmBTU,[ mmBTU] 10,000,000 SHE 26.2%5 Net working interest, [ mmBTU] 2,625,000 Cost per mmMBT ,[ USD/mmBTU] 2.765 Cost per mmMTU,[ AUD /mmBTU] 4.121 Value of estimated EUR(2.765000*4.121 ), [ AUD] 10,816,784 Initial Investment, [AUD] 2,847,600 Estimated EUR over Initial Investment 380%
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How Return on initial investment varies by cost per mmBTU.
..
Price per mbtu USD NWI EUR Value AUD Estimated Return on initiall investment 2.765 10,816,784 380% 4 15,648,150 550% 8 31,296,300 1099% 12 46,944,450 1649%
Caveats
These are my personal amateur estimates ,
This is not a recommendation to buy or sell, and i am a amateur who does this for fun.
Despite the fundamentals prices can up or down but share price might not follow.
DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH, looking forward to any one who disagrees with this and welcome their post
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